Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid tactics, form, team news, predictions

The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 presents a thrilling Madrid derby as Real Madrid host Atletico Madrid at the Santiago Bernebeu Stadium on March 4th, 2025 by 8 PM (WAT). This fixture not only reignites local rivalries but also shows two of Europe’s elite clubs struggling to claim European club football greatest prize.

Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid recent performances

Real Madrid enter this fixture following a 2-1 defeat to Real Betis, a result that has seen them slip to third in La Liga. Despite this setback, Los Blancos have demonstrated formidable form at home, securing 10 victories in 12 league matches and winning eight of their last nine home fixtures. Besides, they are known to posses a different spirit and style of play when it comes to the champions league which has disoriented many high profile teams in the past most likely Manchester City.

Atletico Madrid, under the stewardship of Diego Simeone, are enjoying a brilliant form. They remain unbeaten in their last 10 matches across all competitions drawing Barcelona in an eight-goal thriller in the Copa del Rey and currently sit second in La Liga, two points ahead of their city rivals. This resurgence is bolstered by the prolific form of playmaker Antoine Griezmann and striker Julian Alvarez, who has netted 21 goals since his arrival from Manchester City.

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Real Madrid and Atletico tactical approaches

Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid are renowned for their attacking prowess, often employing a 4-3-3 formation that emphasizes playing from the flanks using Vinícius Jr and Rodrygo, coupled with series of quick transitions which is achieved through the breaking of opposition play. The potential return of Federico Valverde, who has resumed full training, offers versatility, as he can operate both in midfield and as a right-back.

Atletico Madrid are synonymous with defensive solidity and tactical discipline under Simeone. Their compact defensive structure frustrates opponents, while quick counter-attacks exploit spaces left by opposition teams. The striking partnership of Griezmann and Alvarez combines experience and agility, posing significant threats to opposition defenses.

Real Madrid and Atletico team news and injuries

Real Madrid face notable absences. Defender Eder Militao is sidelined for the remainder of the season due to an ACL injury sustained in November 2024. Dani Carvajal is also out for the season after suffering a torn ACL in October 2024. Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has returned from a meniscus tear and is expected to start. On a positive note, Jude Bellingham will be in the starting lineup as his suspension does not encroach into European competition and Federico Valverde has returned to full training and is likely to feature in the starting lineup as well.

Atletico Madrid’s main concern is the suspension of defender Robin Le Normand. However, the squad is otherwise in excellent condition, with midfielder Rodrigo de Paul who has been solid in Atletico’s defensive setup and Pablo Barrios returning to full training after a recent setback. The attacking duo of Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez is expected to lead the line, having combined for 31 goals this season.

Real Madrid vs Atletico predicted scoreline

Given Atletico Madrid’s defensive resilience and Real Madrid’s attacking capabilities, this match is anticipated to be a closely contested affair. Considering recent form, tactical setups, and the head-to-head statistics and results they had this season, a 1-1 draw appears to be a probable outcome. This derby promises high expectations for football fans across the globe, with both teams eager to establish an advantage in the first leg of this prestigious European fixture.