Chelsea vs PSG: 2025 FIFA CWC final preview, H2H, predictions
Chelsea vs PSG 2025 FIFA Club World Cup final match. Photo Credit- Skysports
Chelsea and Paris Saint-Germain- PSG face off in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup final on Sunday, July 13, 2025, 3:00 PM ET (8:00 PM GMT), MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey, a clash of European giants vying for the $125 million prize and global bragging rights. PSG, the Champions League holders, demolished Real Madrid 4-0 in the semifinals, while Chelsea’s disciplined 2-0 win over Fluminense showcased their resurgence under Enzo Maresca. This blockbuster at MetLife Stadium, will feature Cole Palmer’s flair against Ousmane Dembele’s dynamism, promising a tactical spectacle. This piece is set to preview both teams’ performances, tactics, team news, injuries, head-to-head statistics, and a scoreline prediction.
Chelsea’s recent performances
Chelsea secured six points in Group D, beating LAFC 2-0 and ES Tunis 3-0 but losing 3-1 to Flamengo, before a 4-1 Round of 16 win over Benfica and a 2-1 quarterfinal victory over Palmeiras. Their 2-0 semifinal triumph over Fluminense on July 8, 2025, with Joao Pedro scoring both goals, highlighted their defensive solidity. In the 2024/25 Premier League, they finished fourth, scoring 69 goals in 38 matches, led by Palmer. Their 12 tournament goals and 7.2 corners per game show attacking intent, but five goals conceded reveal defensive frailties.
Chelsea’s tactical analysis
Enzo Maresca’s 4-2-3-1, often shifting to a 3-box-3, emphasizes 61% possession and a 7.2 high press, per The Analyst. Cole Palmer 3.2 key passes per 90 and João Pedro 2 goals vs Fluminense drive the attack, with Enzo Fernandez and Moises Caceido anchoring midfield. Mar. Marc Cucurella’s overlaps and Pedro Neto’s pace stretch defenses. Chelsea’s 17 blocked crosses and 7.2 corners per game offer set-piece threats, but their high line, exposed by Flamengo, risks PSG’s fast breaks. A mid-low block, as suggested by, could counter PSG’s early strike
Chelsea team news and injuries
Chelsea face a defensive crisis, with Levi Colwill suspended after yellow cards against Palmeiras, with Wesley Fofana and Moises Caicedo (ankle) ruled out. Reece James, Romeo Lavia, and Benoit Badiashile are doubtful, with James likely to feature off the bench. Trevoh Chalobah and Tosin Adarabioyo are set to start in defense, with Joao Pedro likely replacing Neto, who may rest due to personal reasons. Palmer and Fernandez are confirmed starters.
Predicted Chelsea XI (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Adarabioyo, Cucurella; Fernandez, Lavia; Madueke, Palmer, Joao Pedro; Nkunku.
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PSG’s recent form
PSG topped Group B with six points, thrashing Inter Miami 4-0 in the round of 16 with group stage win over Seattle Sounders and 1-0 loss to Botafogo, followed by a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Bayern Munich (despite finishing with nine players) and a 4-0 semifinal rout of Real Madrid, with Fabian Ruiz scoring twice. In the 2024/25 Ligue 1, they won their fourth straight title, scoring 89 goals in 34 matches, with Dembele, Doue and Kvaratskhelia strikes leading the way. Their 18 goals and one conceded in the Club World Cup show their dominance.
PSG tactical analysis
Luis Enrique’s 4-3-3 relies on a 6.7 high press and 59% possession, with Joao Neves 1.9 tackles and Vitinha 93% passing accuracy controlling midfield, per The Analyst. Dembele, Doue, and Kvaratskhelia form a lethal front three, while Achraf Hakimi’s 2.32 key passes per 90 stretch play. Gianluigi Donnarumma’s 8 saves vs Bayern ensure solidity at the back. PSG’s high line, vulnerable to Botafogo’s counters, could be exploited by Chelsea’s pace. Their 78% first-half possession vs Real Madrid shows early dominance.
PSG’s team news and injuries
PSG are without defenders Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernández, suspended after red cards against Bayern, and Nordi Mukiele, sidelined by injury. Lucas Beraldo will partner Marquinhos, with Nuno Mendes at left-back. Dembele, recovered from a thigh injury, is pushing to start over Bradley Barcola, with Kvaratskhelia and Doue confirmed starters. Joao Neves, Vitinha, and Fabian Ruiz form the midfield, with Donnarumma in goal.
Predicted PSG XI (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Dembele, Doue, Kvaratskhelia.
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Chelsea vs PSG head-to-head statistics
Chelsea and PSG have met five times in UEFA competitions, with PSG holding a slight edge: 2 wins, 1 Chelsea win, and 2 draws, per The Athletic. Recent encounters include: 2015/16 Champions League Round of 16: PSG 4-2 aggregate (2-1, 2-1). 2014/15 Champions League Round of 16: PSG 3-3 aggregate. 2013/14 Champions League Quarterfinal: Chelsea 3-3 aggregate. PSG’s 4-0 thrashing of Real Madrid and Chelsea’s 2-0 Fluminense win suggest a high-scoring final, with PSG’s 18 goals and Chelsea’s 12 in the tournament. Their balanced history points to a tight contest.
Chelsea vs PSG score prediction
PSG are favourites to claim the 2025 FIFA CWC title. The Opta supercomputer gives PSG a 62% chance of winning, per The Analyst, driven by their 18 goals and five clean sheets. Chelsea’s 6 fast-break goals and 7.2 corners per game, per Squawka, exploit PSG’s high line, as Botafogo did. However, PSG’s 78% first-half possession and 10 shots vs Real Madrid, pose a challenge. Chelsea’s depleted defense and Robert Sanchez’s need for an incredible performance, face pressure from Dembele and Ruiz. Football enthusiasts on social media predict a 3-1 PSG win, but Chelsea’s set-piece threat could keep it close.
